2017 Kentucky Derby Horse Profile for Gormley

American AnthemGormley and American Anthem (Benoit Photo)

Gormley Career Statistics

Starts: 6

Wins: 4

Places: 0 `

Shows: 0

Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings: $884,000

Owner: Mr. and Mrs. Jerome Moss

Trainer: John Shireffs

Jockey: Victor Espinoza

Pedigree: Malibu Moon – Race to Urga, by Bernstein

Recent Finish: 1st, Santa Anita Derby, G1 (4/817)

Notable Wins:  Santa Anita Derby, Sham Stakes, G3 (1/7/17), Front Runner Stakes, G1 (10/1/16)

Gormley History

Gormley won the first two races of his career including the Frontrunner Stakes (G1) wire-to-wire at Santa Anita. He was bet down to 5-1 in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile over the same track Nov. 5 but bobbled at the break and couldn’t make up enough ground before giving way to finish seventh behind the winner Classic Empire. Gormley won the Sham Stakes (G1) by a neck in his 2017 debut despite being a bit washy at the gate. A well-beaten 4th in the March 11 San Felipe is a concern as he stalked the leader along the backstretch but had little left down the lane to finish more than 10 lengths behind the winner Mastery.

“We have yet to see a real burst of speed from Gormley”

His win in the Santa Anita Derby (G1) seems encouraging, until you see his slow final 3/8 mile time and realize it was against a group of horses that were staggering at the end of nine furlongs. He was aided by a furious three-way speed battle up front in that race. We have yet to see a real burst of speed from Gormley down the stretch, and there’s little interest in Gormley even at 12-1 or better in the Kentucky Derby.

Some key speed figures and stats for Gormley:

  • Final 3/8ths time in the Santa Anita Derby – :39.74 seconds
  • 88 Beyer Speed Figure in the Santa Anita Derby
  • Final time of 1:51.16 was the slowest Santa Anita Derby winning time since 1956

Gormley ran a final 3/8 mile in :39.74 seconds in his final prep at the Santa Anita Derby. Generally, a final three-eighths time of less than 38 seconds is considered good, while anything over 39 seconds is slow.

Horses that are finishing strongly at the end of their prep races are more likely to handle the distance of the Kentucky Derby (1 ¼ miles) than horses that are tiring at the end of their prep races. Each of the last five Kentucky Derby winners – and 15 of the last 20 – ran the last three-eighths of their final Derby prep race in less than 38 seconds. Look at his final 3/8 mile time on a fast track in the Santa Anita Derby and there is some concern as this horse tries to make a late move against stronger colts at the added Derby distance.

Give Gormley credit for winning races and having a nose for the finish line. He’s talented and versatile, but his race in the San Felipe shows he’s not one to count on in the Derby. He raced head to head off the leader Mastery, then weakened badly in the stretch finishing a well-beaten 4th going 1 1/16 miles. Don’t envision him showing the burst of speed down the stretch at this distance to be a factor, even if the fractions are pretty fast up front,

 

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