Rain will Dampen Preakness but it Will Take More Than a Sloppy Surface to Slow Justify

Which Preakness Horses Have Run over a Wet Surface?

For the first time since 1948, the first two legs of the Triple Crown will both be run over a sloppy race track. Justify won the wettest Kentucky Derby ever and he’s the prohibitive 1-2 favorite to repeat at Pimlico in the Preakness Stakes. In 1948, Citation won both the Derby and Preakness over sloppy surfaces on his way to winning the Triple Crown. Incredibly, Citation won 16 straight races and 19 of 20 overall during his Triple Crown season. Justify has the look of a champion with four wins this season and the betting bandwagon will try to stay dry at Pimlico Saturday.

History could be on the horizon with humid and stormy conditions expected Saturday at Pimlico Race Course for the 143rd running of the Preakness Stakes. It’s been raining since Tuesday with nearly 4 inches falling in Baltimore, and rain is expected early Saturday with cloudy skies and thundershowers developing for the afternoon in Baltimore.

Trainer Bob Baffert is 4-for-4 with Preakness winners that also won the Kentucky Derby. He’s also the trainer who had the most recent dominant 3-year-old on the Triple Crown trail as American Pharoah won the 2015 Triple Crown and ripped through his rivals in the Preakness, winning by 7 lengths as the 1-5 favorite. Now Baffert brings Justify to Old Hilltop as the fastest and most dominant horse in the field, and a similar romp in the Preakness like American Pharoah produced would be of little surprise.

For those that like to evaluate horses that have run in the mud or slop before, here is your guide to the Preakness with those mud runners and their Beyer Speed Figures in those wet races. .

Justify won the Kentucky Derby (103) and Santa Anita Derby (101) over a wet track.

Good Magic finished 2nd in the Kentucky Derby (99) in his only race on a wet track.

Lone Sailor won at Saratoga (77) last September and was 8th in the Kentucky Derby (89).

Bravazo finished 6th in the Kentucky Derby (91) in his only race on a wet track.

Sporting Chance is 1-0-1 in three races in the mud with his victory in the Grade 1 Hopeful (86) last year and 4th in the slop in his most recent race at the Pat Day Mile (77).

The Preakness Stakes is Race 13 on Saturday, May 19 from Pimlico Race Course with post time near 6:48 p.m. ET.

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